Oscar Predictions 2013

Well here they are!

Only a few more weeks to find out how right or wrong I am...


Best Motion Picture of the Year

Prediction:

Change:

ARGO

I cannot get around the fact that I believe that Lincoln was a terrible film and as such I have gone with my gut on this and changed my prediction. Although I have not seen Argo, it is likely the film after Lincoln that is likely to win and as such, I have gone with this.

Previously:

Lincoln (2012): Steven Spielberg, Kathleen Kennedy

I really, really want Les Miserables to win best picture, but as much as I want this to happen, I have to face the facts that this is unlikely to happen. Unfortunately, Les Miserables has somewhat of a Marmite effect, it’s something that you either really like, or just don’t get at all. The audience who have enjoyed the stage musical seem to have taken to it, but I don’t think that it has had a big enough impression (in America at least) in order to secure a win.

Argo, probably has a chance, but the Director snub goes against this, Zero Dark Thirty also has a chance, but the controversy around the depiction of torture goes against this.

Ultimately, seeing as this is an America ceremony, I think that this will go to Lincoln (despite my thoughts on the film).

Best Performance by an Actor in a Leading Role

Prediction:

Daniel Day-Lewis for Lincoln (2012)

Although I didn’t like Lincoln, there’s no doubting that Daniel-Day-Lewis did a great job in it and I think that he is going to make it a hat-trick (pun intended).

Best Performance by an Actress in a Leading Role

Prediction:

Jennifer Lawrence for Silver Linings Playbook (2012)

There is a chance that Jessica Chastain may get this (and in my opinion would be the person I would give this to for her performance in Zero Dark Thirty), but there seems to be a lot of Hollywood love for Jennifer Lawrence these last 2 years, and I see this going to her.

Best Performance by an Actor in a Supporting Role

Prediction:

Tommy Lee Jones for Lincoln (2012)

There is a slight chance that this may go to Christoph Waltz, but I’m betting on Tommy Lee Jones, who was one of the few redeeming elements of Lincoln.

Best Performance by an Actress in a Supporting Role

Prediction:

Anne Hathaway for Les Misérables (2012)

If this goes to anyone else, it will be a crime of epic proportions.

Best Achievement in Directing

Prediction:

Steven Spielberg for Lincoln (2012)

Although I don’t believe that it is deserved (for Lincoln at least), I think that this is Spielberg’s.

Best Writing, Screenplay Written Directly for the Screen

Prediction:

Django Unchained (2012): Quentin Tarantino

This is between Amour, Django and Zero Dark Thirty. I’m betting on Django Unchained, because as much as Hollywood are sometimes wary of Tarantino as a director, they often respect his writing skills.

Best Writing, Screenplay Based on Material Previously Produced or Published

Prediction:

Change:

ARGO

in view of the fact that I have changed my best picture prediction, I have also amended this category as well.

Previously:

Life of Pi (2012): David Magee

Both Lincoln and Silver Linings Playbook are probably the frontrunners here, but I think the fact that Life of Pi is a higher regarded book, and also the fact that this was a good adaptation may go in its favour.

Best Animated Feature Film of the Year

Prediction:

Wreck-It Ralph (2012): Rich Moore

This is a very tough one to call. I would love this to go to The Pirates, but I have a sneaking suspicion that this might go to Wreck-It-Ralph.

Best Foreign Language Film of the Year

Prediction:

Amour (2012)(Austria)

As this is the only foreign film which is in the best film category as well, this is pretty much a given in my eyes.

Best Achievement in Cinematography

Prediction:

Life of Pi (2012): Claudio Miranda

I would be disappointed if this went to anything other than Life of Pi in this category.

Best Achievement in Editing

Prediction:

Zero Dark Thirty (2012): William Goldenberg, Dylan Tichenor

Logic would predict that this goes to Lincoln (as it is often the case that editing also goes with best picture), but I think/hope it will go to Zero Dark Thirty instead.

Best Achievement in Production Design

Prediction:

Life of Pi (2012): David Gropman, Anna Pinnock

Again I think this will go to Life of Pi.

Best Achievement in Costume Design

Prediction:

Anna Karenina (2012/I): Jacqueline Durran

Elaborate costume drama = likely win for Anna Karenina.

Best Achievement in Makeup and Hairstyling

Prediction:

The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey (2012): Peter King, Rick Findlater, Tami Lane

Lots of beards and fake noses makes this a likely win.

Best Achievement in Music Written for Motion Pictures, Original Score

Prediction:

Skyfall (2012): Thomas Newman

I’m probably going to be wrong on this one, an alternative would be Life of Pi, but maybe Hollywood will fall for the Bond anniversary...

Best Achievement in Music Written for Motion Pictures, Original Song

Prediction:

Skyfall (2012): Adele, Paul Epworth("Skyfall")

In any other year I would have gone with Les Miserables, but Suddenly was a comparably weak unnecessary song. Skyfal, however, is the best Bond theme in some time and pretty much everyone loves Adele, so this it is.

Best Achievement in Sound Mixing

Prediction:

Les Misérables (2012): Andy Nelson, Mark Paterson, Simon Hayes

The use of live performances probably clinches this for Les Mis.

Best Achievement in Sound Editing

Prediciton:

Skyfall (2012): Per Hallberg, Karen M. Baker

A tough call between Skyfall and Zero Dark Thirty, but I’ll go wit Skyfall.

Best Achievement in Visual Effects

Prediction:

Life of Pi (2012): Bill Westenhofer, Guillaume Rocheron, Erik De Boer, Donald Elliott

The easy prediction for this would be The Avengers (in view of its popularity), but I did not feel that it did anything special with its visual effects. For Life of Pi, however, they were integral to the story and used in such a fantastic way, that I think that this is most deserving the award.

Best Documentary, Features

Prediction:

No prediction made as I do not know enough about the nominees.

Best Documentary, Short Subjects

Prediction:

No prediction made as I do not know enough about the nominees.

Best Short Film, Animated

Prediction:

Change:

PAPERMAN

After seeing this before Wreck It Ralph, I have changed my prediction to this, which was absolutely fanatstic.

Previously:

The Simpsons: The Longest Daycare (2012): David Silverman

I’m probably going to be wrong on this one, but I loved this short so much that I have to include it as my prediction!

Best Short Film, Live Action

Prediction:

No prediction made as I do not know enough about the nominees.