Oscar predictions 2011

BEST PICTURE
As much as I’d like to see Inception win this (or alternatively Toy Story 3), I think that it will be between The King’s Speech, Black Swan and The Social Network. I think this really is a tough call this year. Black Swan is likely too dark and grotesque to win (I’d also like to see this win, but think that this is the least likely out of these three), The King’s Speech is VERY Oscar friendly, but a bit lacking in my opinion and The Social Network, whilst good (but far from Fincher’s best) is probably a bit too current for most of the Academy voters.

My prediction: The Social Network

(But it really should be Inception)

ACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE
My prediction: Colin Firth for "The King's Speech"

...and I’d be surprised if I was wrong on this one.

ACTRESS IN A LEADING ROLE
My prediction: Natalie Portman for "Black Swan"

...and I’d also be surprised if I was wrong on this one.

DIRECTING
I think this will be between Aronofsky and Fincher...

My prediction: David Fincher for "The Social Network"

ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE
I’d say that this is between Bale and Rush. Going against Bale is the fact that he still has a stigma attached to him following his well known rant, and Rush has already won an Oscar for Shine. Taking into account the end credits of the Fighter, where the real character (Dickie) played by Bale was shown, it was clear how close and uncanny he played this. As such...

My prediction: Christian Bale for "The Fighter"

ACTRESS IN A SUPPORTING ROLE
I’m finding this hard to choose between Adams, Bonham Carter, Leo and Steinfeld (so in other words most of them). I think the Fighter nominations will likely cancel each other out, so that leaves Bonham Carter and Steinfeld. Steinfeld was the best thing in True Grit, but Bonham Carter has never won before and has been in a lot of great films.

My prediction: Helena Bonham Carter for "The King's Speech"

FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM
Do not know enough to predict.

ANIMATED FEATURE FILM
My prediction: "Toy Story 3"

Anything less would be a crime!

SCREENPLAY (Adapted)
My prediction: Aaron Sorkin for "The Social Network"

SCREENPLAY (Original)
My prediction: Christopher Nolan for "Inception"

After all, Nolan deserves to win something following his Best Director snub!

ART DIRECTION
My prediction: "Inception"

CINEMATOGRAPHY
My prediction: "Inception"

COSTUME DESIGN
My prediction: "Alice in Wonderland"

As much as I didn’t like the film, you can’t fault the costume design!

DOCUMENTARY FEATURE
Do not know enough to predict.

DOCUMENTARY SHORT SUBJECT
Do not know enough to predict.

FILM EDITING
My prediction: "The Social Network"

If only for the fact that I have it for Best Picture.

MAKEUP
My prediction: "The Wolfman"

MUSIC (SCORE)
My prediction: "Inception"

I thought Inception had a clever and memorable score and really deserves to win.

MUSIC (SONG)
My prediction: 'We Belong Together" from "Toy Story 3"

SHORT FILM (ANIMATED)
My prediction: "The Gruffalo"

SHORT FILM (LIVE ACTION)
Do not know enough to predict.

SOUND EDITING
My prediction: "Inception"

SOUND MIXING
My prediction: "Inception"

VISUAL EFFECTS
My prediction: "Inception"

So overall, I think that Inception will come out of the Oscars winning a fair few of the technical and lesser awards, but not the big awards (apart from original screenplay – fingers crossed).

The King’s Speech will do well winning 2 of the acting awards.

The Social Network will win the main awards.

Let’s see how I do!